U.S. CBDC Is Unlikely in the Near Term: Bank of America (2024)

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, but a digital dollar is unlikely in the near term, Bank of America (BAC) said in a report on Monday.

A CBDC is a digital currency that is issued by a government and is normally a tokenized form of the country’s fiat currency.

“The Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to pilot CBDCs but has not committed to a CBDC and will not issue one without executive branch and Congressional support,” analysts led by Alkesh Shah wrote.

“CBDC benefits and risks depend on the design and issuance approach, but we expect CBDCs to provide a more efficient and less costly payment system for cross-border and domestic payments, a tool for monetary policy implementation and improved financial inclusion,” the authors wrote.

Still, “they may also drive competition with bank deposits, more frequent bank runs, loss of monetary sovereignty and tensions among countries globally,” the bank said.

Central banks and governments are expected to drive digital asset innovation by “leveraging the private sector and beneficiaries to emerge across all phases of CBDC implementation.”

Bank of America reiterates its view that CBDCs have the “potential to revolutionize global financial systems.”

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) said earlier this month that it was working on a wholesale CBDC pilot alongside the SIX Digital Exchange (SDX) and six commercial banks.

Edited by Sheldon Reback.

U.S. CBDC Is Unlikely in the Near Term: Bank of America (2024)

FAQs

U.S. CBDC Is Unlikely in the Near Term: Bank of America? ›

10 Years of Decentralizing the Future

Is a CBDC a risk for banks? ›

A UK House of Lords economic affairs committee report concluded that a CBDC poses two main security risks: first, that individual accounts could be compromised through cybersecurity weaknesses; and, second, that a centralised CBDC ledger could be a target for attack from “hostile state and non-state actors”.

Is the United States going to the digital dollar? ›

U.S. President Joe Biden ordered officials to look into a digital dollar in 2022 but it has become a divisive political issue with Biden's Republican rival in this year's U.S. election race, Donald Trump, vowing not to allow it.

Will CBDC destroy banks? ›

Results: The impact of a CBDC is much lower after taking into account that households enjoy the complementarity between deposits and other financial products within the same bank, which gives banks a competitive advantage over the CBDC.

Which banks are supported by CBDC? ›

India's Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), the Digital Rupee
Pilot BanksName of the App
HDFC BankHDFC Bank Digital Rupee
Union Bank of IndiaDigital Rupee By UBI
Bank of BarodaBank of Baroda Digital Rupee
Kotak Mahindra BankDigital Rupee by Kotak Bank
9 more rows

Will digital currency replace cash? ›

Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

How does CBDC affect bank deposits? ›

With the number of banks fixed, banks respond to the introduction of CBDC by increasing the deposit rate as banks attempt to maintain market share. If the number of banks is able to adjust, the deposit market becomes more concentrated following the introduction of CBDC.

Is Bank of America going to digital currency? ›

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, but a digital dollar is unlikely in the near term, Bank of America (BAC) said in a report on Monday.

Should we get rid of cash? ›

For instance, using cash instead of credit or debit cards may help keep some people from overspending, because you can see how little is left in your wallet after every purchase. In short, getting rid of cash would impose hardships on society's most vulnerable people and could jeopardize our privacy.

Will digital payment replace cash in the US? ›

Luckily, it's unlikely that we will completely do away with cash — at least not any time soon. This means more time for small businesses to get comfortable before they take the mandatory leap into digital payments. 71% of consumers intend to continue using cashless payments in the future.

Which banks are going CBDC? ›

Participating banks include BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank and Wells Fargo.

Is CBDC inevitable? ›

These countries view CBDCs as a way to maintain their global political and economic power and influence. In short, public demand aside, CBDCs may indeed be inevitable.”

Why do banks want CBDC? ›

Many central banks seek to establish greater local governance over increasingly global payment systems. Central banks see CBDC as a potential stabilizing anchor of local digital payment systems.

Is the US dollar going digital? ›

So far, the US is still in an exploratory phase with the Biden administration announcing an executive order in 2022 that led to further research into digital currencies.

Will cash become obsolete? ›

If it's been a long time since you pulled out actual dollars and coins to pay for something — here's a conversation for you. It might seem like cash is slowly becoming obsolete. But, Brett Scott says it's a false narrative that we're all pining for a cashless society.

Is CBDC coming to America? ›

1 The United States doesn't yet have a CBDC as of 2024 but it's important to understand the concept with this option under discussion, as well as the benefits and risks attached and steps toward implementation.

What does CBDC mean for banks? ›

A central bank digital currency (CBDC) is a digital version of a country's central bank money or fiat currency. Fiat money is not tied to a physical commodity such as gold or silver. The role of a central bank is to support financial services, set monetary policy and issue currency.

What are the negatives of CBDC? ›

Possibility of breaching user privacy and creating a surveillance state: Depending on the design of the CBDC system, there is a risk that user privacy could be compromised or that the system could be used for surveillance purposes.

What are the consequences of CBDC? ›

If the CBDC rate is high, individual holding limits increase welfare by reducing financial stability risks. By contrast, imposing holding limits for a low CBDC rate can only increase the risk of bank runs, and therefore reduce welfare.

Could a CBDC adversely affect the financial sector? ›

Given the uncertainty about the demand for CBDC, setting holding limits may involve a process of trial and error. Second, a CBDC may weaken financial stability by reducing the ability of banks to extend credit during times of stress.

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